Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho (Kyiv)

Referee: Omelchenko A. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Zorya Luhansk		Livyi Bereh Kyiv

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.7
	2.32	3.05	3.2
	2.25	3.08	3.35
	2.23	3.12	3.38	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.22	3.12	3.35	Watch
	2.26	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.68)	3.12 ↓ (3.67)	3.4 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zorya Luhansk
42.5%

Draw
30%

Livyi Bereh Kyiv
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.4%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zorya Luhansk's form might have worsened.

Livyi Bereh Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Livyi Bereh Kyiv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zorya Luhansk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Livyi Bereh Kyiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Zorya Luhansk - Livyi Bereh Kyiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zorya will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saputin O. (G) 32. Trontelj Z. 55. Jordan 15. Dryshlyuk K. 47. Vantukh R. 97. Korablin T. 6. Popara D. 22. Micin P. 7. Antyukh D. 28. Budkivsky P. 5. Yatsyk O.	1. Mekhaniv M. (G) 27. Astakhov E. 50. Semenov D. 97. Yakymiv A. 22. Shapoval V. 29. Prykhodko K. 25. Kosovskyi S. 44. Banada E. 96. Synytsya O. 21. Sukhoruchko D. 7. Shastal D.
Substitutes
29. Bilotserkovets V. 17. Gorbach I. 10. Juninho 70. Kyryukhantsev I. 20. Matkevych A. 53. Matsapura D. (G) 9. Slesar A. 30. Turbayevskyi M. (G)	8. Diego 26. Galas T. 37. Geresh R. 23. Karavashchenko l. (G) 9. Kobzar B. 17. Kogut I. 10. Riznyk A. 5. Samar V. 6. Sidnney 2. Sokolov O. 11. Voytsekhovskiy V.
Coaches
Bartulovic M.	Pervak V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Jordan 🟨,
36', Mekhaniv M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Antyukh D. ⚽, Yatsyk O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kosovskyi S. ↓, Diego ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Yatsyk O. ⚽, Budkivsky P. (A),
53', Astakhov E. 🟨,
60', Shastal D. ↓, Voytsekhovskiy V. ↑,
60', Synytsya O. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,
60', Shapoval V. ↓, Sidnney ↑,
61', Kogut I. 🟨,
63', Dryshlyuk K. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Sidnney ⚽,
70', Antyukh D. ↓, Bilotserkovets V. ↑,
70', Korablin T. ↓, Slesar A. ↑,
80', Yatsyk O. ↓, Gorbach I. ↑,
85', Prykhodko K. ↓, Kobzar B. ↑,
90+5', Saputin O. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Recent matches Zorya is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Livyi Bereh is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Livyi Bereh have a series of home games.

Zorya will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Zorya: Basic J. (Red Card)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zorya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
20.04.25	Kryvbas - Zorya Luhansk	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Zorya Luhansk - Veres Rivne	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Vorskla Poltava - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Obolon - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLW
- Livyi Bereh Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
19.04.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Kolos Kovalivka	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Oleksandriya	0:1 ✺
07.03.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Veres Rivne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
27.10.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Zorya Luhansk	0:2

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