Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Arena Lublin (Lublin)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)


	Zorya Luhansk		Slavia Prague

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.4	Watch
	7.7	5.1	1.38
	7	4.75	1.42
	7.52	5.07	1.41
	6.5	4.2	1.36
	7.4	4.85	1.39
	7.4	5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.22 ↑ (5.6)	4.78 ↑ (3.9)	1.4 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zorya Luhansk
13%

Draw
19.7%

Slavia Prague
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

23.9%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

23.4%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Slavia Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slavia Prague's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slavia Prague, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	10.5%	78.9%

Zorya Luhansk - Slavia Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: Slavia Prague will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Turbayevskyi M. (G) 70. Kyryukhantsev I. 55. Jordan 44. Batagov A. 74. Snurnitsyn I. 47. Vantukh R. 39. Guerrero E. 9. Myshnyov D. (C) 5. Yatsyk O. 7. Antyukh D. 11. Alefirenko D.	1. Kolar O. (G) 8. Masopust L. 5. Ogbu I. 27. Vlcek T. 17. Provod L. 3. Holes T. (C) 19. Dorley O. 21. Doudera D. 10. Zafeiris C. 26. Schranz I. 14. van Buren M.
Substitutes
3. Bol A. 19. Bugay V. 20. Churko V. 15. Dryshlyuk K. 24. Golovkin I. 17. Gorbach I. 6. Gulko I. 22. Micin P. 10. Nagnoynyi D. 1. Saputin O. (G) 16. Voloshyn V. 36. Zhylkin A. (G)	18. Boril J. 13. Chytil M. 25. Hromada J. 35. Jurasek M. 15. Jurecka V. 28. Mandous A. (G) 24. Ogungbayi B. 23. Sevcik P. 31. Sirotnik J. (G) 9. Tijani M. 29. Tomic M. 6. Wallem C.
Coaches
Bartulovic M.	Trpisovsky J.

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Arena Lublin. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Recent matches Zorya is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Slavia Prague is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Slavia Prague could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Slavia Prague is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zorya won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
27.08.23	Mynai - Zorya Luhansk	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Slavia Prague - Zorya Luhansk	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
18.08.23	Zorya Luhansk - Oleksandriya	0:0 ✺
13.08.23	Vorskla Poltava - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
06.08.23	Zorya Luhansk - Kryvbas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTWL
- SK Slavia Prague
Czech 1 Liga
27.08.23	Jablonec - Slavia Prague	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Slavia Prague - Zorya Luhansk	2:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
20.08.23	Slavia Prague - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.08.23	Dnipro-1 - Slavia Prague	1:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
13.08.23	Mladá Boleslav - Slavia Prague	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Slavia Prague - Zorya Luhansk	2:0

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