Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 8 July 2024, Monday


	Zrinjski Mostar		Zorya Luhansk

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.6
	1.84	3.44	3.76
				Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.5
	2.55	3.4	2.38	Watch
	2.33	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.86)	3.36 ↓ (3.39)	2.81 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zrinjski Mostar
40%

Draw
27.3%

Zorya Luhansk
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

25.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zrinjski Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zrinjski Mostar's form might have worsened.

Zorya Luhansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zorya Luhansk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zrinjski Mostar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zorya Luhansk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Zrinjski Mostar - Zorya Luhansk Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zrinjski will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Zorya will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Voloshyn V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

Recent matches Zrinjski is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zorya is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Zorya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zrinjski will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zrinjski Mostar
Club Friendly
04.07.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:3 ✺
28.06.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Vllaznia Shkodër	0:1 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
26.05.24	Igman Konjic - Zrinjski Mostar	1:4 ✺
Bosnian Cup
23.05.24	Borac Banja Luka - Zrinjski Mostar	0:1 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
20.05.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Tuzla City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWW
- Zorya Luhansk
Club Friendly
07.07.24	Beltinci - Zorya Luhansk	3:2 ✺
02.07.24	Zorya Luhansk - MTK Budapest	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
25.05.24	Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1 ✺
19.05.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Zorya Luhansk	2:1 ✺
13.05.24	Zorya Luhansk - Veres Rivne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLT

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