Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Promotion League

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Zurich II		Étoile Carouge

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2.05
	3.2	3.35	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 (3.2)	3.33 ↑ (3.33)	2.05 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zurich II
28.4%

Draw
27.3%

Étoile Carouge
44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

26.9%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Zurich II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Étoile Carouge have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zurich II than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Omerovic A. (G) 7. Zinna M. T. 6. Holcbecher M. 19. Walker S. 28. Guzzo R. 11. Fischer P. 21. Hodza S. (C) 14. Leao Muata N. 10. Di Giusto N. 9. Zivkovic N. 33. Banda J.	1. Antonio S. (G) 22. Rufli V. 8. Chappuis A. (C) 11. Simbakoli U. 13. Zoukit N. 4. Magnin M. 17. Vieira M. 24. Kursner R. 14. Hysenaj F. 10. Caslei B. 12. Adeagbo E.
Substitutes
29. Bajrami L. 18. Morozov Y. (G) 17. Stefanovic M. 8. Ulu S. 23. Xhemaili B.	9. Eleouet A. 6. El Jaouhari M. 21. Fernandez R. 27. Munishi H. 80. Oberli B. 99. Zbinden L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Simbakoli U. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Di Giusto N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Vieira M. ↓, Eleouet A. ↑,
63', Di Giusto N. ↓, Stefanovic M. ↑,
66', Leao Muata N. 🟨,
70', Zoukit N. ↓, El Jaouhari M. ↑,
74', Zivkovic N. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zurich II won 2.

Zurich II is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Étoile is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zurich II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zurich II have a series of home games.

Étoile will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Zurich II won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Zurich II won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zurich II
Swiss Promotion League
20.04.24	Zurich II - Bavois	0:4 ✺
17.04.24	Bulle - Zurich II	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Zurich II - Paradiso	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Zurich II - Rapperswil-Jona	3:4 ✺
23.03.24	Young Boys II - Zurich II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Promotion League
27.04.24	Étoile Carouge - Luzern II	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Breitenrain Bern - Étoile Carouge	0:1 ✺
17.04.24	Étoile Carouge - Basel II	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Biel-Bienne - Étoile Carouge	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Étoile Carouge - Lugano II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
28.10.23	Étoile Carouge - Zurich II	3:2
18.02.23	Étoile Carouge - Zurich II	1:3
13.08.22	Zurich II - Étoile Carouge	0:0
30.10.21	Étoile Carouge - Zurich II	0:1
22.08.20	Zurich II - Étoile Carouge	1:1
19.10.19	Étoile Carouge - Zurich II	2:2
07.11.15	Zurich II - Étoile Carouge	1:1

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