Match Info

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: WWIN Liga BiH - Round 28

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Novi Gradski stadion (Ugljevik)

Referee: Musa M. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Zvijezda Brgule		Tuzla City

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.77
	3.6	3.6	1.9	Watch
	4.09	3.64	1.7
	4.09	3.64	1.7
	4.33	3.75	1.67
	4.53	3.69	1.7	Watch
	3.85	3.6	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (2.22)	3.62 ↑ (3.33)	1.75 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvijezda Brgule
22.6%

Draw
25.2%

Tuzla City
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.8%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvijezda Brgule has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zvijezda Brgule's form might have worsened.

Tuzla City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tuzla City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvijezda Brgule than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zvijezda Brgule, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuzla City than the current prediction. (-22.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tuzla City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.7%	1.2%	95%

Zvijezda Brgule - Tuzla City Predictions

Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. Zvijezda Brgule will win (votes: 3 - 3.8%). Tuzla City will win (votes: 76 - 95%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 1.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tuzla City: 90.2% – 99.8%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
83. Damjanovic L. (G) 2. Jankovic L. 25. Karaklajic P. 88. Maksimovic N. 55. Ponjevic D. (C) 5. Ristanovic P. 27. Saliman K. 65. Sapic S. 6. Tomanovic S. 20. Vadze G. 77. Vukoja B.	12. Abdulahovic T. (G) 34. Cosic D. 5. Delimedjac M. 15. Hodzic D. 25. Kobiljar R. 10. Mehanovic M. (C) 3. Nikic N. 7. Nukic A. 11. Pantelic D. 19. Redzic H. 30. Susic T.
Substitutes
13. Dujkovic M. 44. Ivancic J. 1. Jelovac M. (G) 21. Malic L. 8. Matic K. 23. Milovanovic G. 30. Mulalic E. 24. Ostojic M. 11. Savic M. 7. Sipovac D.	22. Fehric A. 18. Garcevic V. 9. Hadzic I. 24. Husic A. 17. Karjasevic H. 1. Lolic E. (G) 28. Masovic A. 8. Ordagic A. 20. Osmic J. 16. Rizvic M.
Coaches
Trkulja B.	Osmanhodzic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Kobiljar R. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Saliman K. ⚽,
17', Tomanovic S. 🟨,
32', Delimedjac M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Delimedjac M. ↓, Hadzic I. ↑,
53', Maksimovic N. 🟨,
57', Karaklajic P. ↓, Dujkovic M. ↑,
65', Nukic A. ↓, Karjasevic H. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Pantelic D. ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Maksimovic N. (Pen),
80', Hodzic D. ↓, Osmic J. ↑,
83', Saliman K. ↓, Savic M. ↑,
84', 3 - 2, Maksimovic N. ⚽,
87', Redzic H. 🟨,
88', Nikic N. ↓, Garcevic V. ↑,
90', Vukoja M. ↓, Matic K. ↑,
90', Damjanovic L. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zvijezda Brgule won 1.

Zvijezda Brgule has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tuzla City is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tuzla City will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Zvijezda Brgule won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Zvijezda Brgule won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvijezda Brgule
Bosnian Premier League
19.04.24	Velež Mostar - Zvijezda Brgule	3:1 ✺
13.04.24	Zvijezda Brgule - GOŠK Gabela	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Zvijezda Brgule	4:0 ✺
30.03.24	Zvijezda Brgule - Široki Brijeg	2:3 ✺
17.03.24	Borac Banja Luka - Zvijezda Brgule	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FK Tuzla City
Bosnian Premier League
19.04.24	GOŠK Gabela - Tuzla City	1:0 ✺
12.04.24	Tuzla City - Široki Brijeg	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Posušje - Tuzla City	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Tuzla City - Sarajevo	1:5 ✺
16.03.24	Sloga Doboj - Tuzla City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
02.03.24	Tuzla City - Zvijezda Brgule	2:0
07.10.23	Zvijezda Brgule - Tuzla City	1:1
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Zvijezda Brgule - Tuzla City	3:1
Bosnian Premier League
05.10.19	Tuzla City - Zvijezda Brgule	3:0
20.07.19	Zvijezda Brgule - Tuzla City	1:5
29.04.19	Tuzla City - Zvijezda Brgule	1:3
01.12.18	Zvijezda Brgule - Tuzla City	1:1

Zvijezda Brgule - Tuzla City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide