Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE WOMEN - ROUND 11

Date: 9 December 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Zwolle		VV Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.6	5.25
	1.4	5	5.2
	1.43	4.6	5.2
	1.48	5.02	5.48
	1.4	4.2	5.5
	1.41	4.75	5.55
	1.44	4.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.75)	4.68 ↑ (3.74)	5.34 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwolle
63.7%

Draw
19.4%

VV Alkmaar
17%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.1%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zwolle's performance.

VV Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VV Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zwolle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VV Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VV Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Zwolle - VV Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). VV Alkmaar will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 2.

Recent matches Zwolle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

VV Alkmaar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

VV Alkmaar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zwolle is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Zwolle won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
25.11.22	Zwolle - Telstar	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Zwolle - ADO Den Haag	0:3 ✺
04.11.22	Heerenveen - Zwolle	1:2 ✺
28.10.22	PSV Eindhoven - Zwolle	4:0 ✺
23.10.22	Zwolle - Feyenoord	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLT
- VV Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Women
02.12.22	VV Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag	0:3 ✺
25.11.22	Fortuna Sittard - VV Alkmaar	4:0 ✺
20.11.22	Telstar - VV Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
04.11.22	VV Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	VV Alkmaar - Ajax	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie Women
25.03.22	Zwolle - VV Alkmaar	2:1
05.12.21	Zwolle - VV Alkmaar	2:3
15.10.21	VV Alkmaar - Zwolle	3:1
28.05.21	Zwolle - VV Alkmaar	5:1
30.04.21	VV Alkmaar - Zwolle	3:3
02.03.21	VV Alkmaar - Zwolle	0:3
02.10.20	Zwolle - VV Alkmaar	0:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
01.11.26	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	✺

Zwolle - VV Alkmaar