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Current Win Probability
Zápy 57.5%
Draw 21.8%
Varnsdorf 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.7%
21.5%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.8%
23.8%
18.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zápy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Varnsdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zápy than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zápy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Zápy - Varnsdorf Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rehak J. (G) 12. Ekpai U. 3. Hubicka D. 20. Kocourek O. 9. Kuchar T. 14. Petrak O. 18. Petrlak M. 6. Sulc J. 8. Tesar J. 19. Vandas P. 15. Woitek L. (C)
1. Roze V. (G) 16. Ahile T. 15. Boryshpolets S. 12. Emmer J. 13. Hudak J. 6. Jandac L. 20. Kovbasa A. 14. Matviychuk I. 10. Senko K. 2. Sokol J. 4. Tymoshenko I. (C)
Substitutes
16. Farkas D. 23. Lopatar J. 10. Matejka T. 28. Nevecny V. (G) 13. Steiner J. 11. Vesely D. 7. Vesely L.
7. Barylyak S. 9. Berezka D. 17. Gavrylyuk N. 24. Lopez M. 22. Pechenyi N. 33. Shnurko D. (G) 11. Sirenko O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Ahile T. ⚽,
28', Hudak J. ↓, Berezka D. ↑,
39', 1 - 1, Vandas P. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', Tesar J. ↓, Vesely D. ↑,
46', Ekpai U. ↓, Lopatar J. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, ⚽,
62', 1 - 3, ⚽,
79', 2 - 3, ⚽,
85', 🟨,
90', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 4, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+6', 4 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 and 5).
Recent performances by Zápy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Varnsdorf is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Zápy is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zápy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Zápy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 3:0).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Zapy
9
6
3
0
23:10
13
21
8
Varnsdorf
8
3
3
2
13:13
0
12
Last Results with these Odds
Varnsdorf - the odds 4.3 are the expected chance of winning is 20.79%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.