Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 7

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday


	Água Santa		Costa Rica

	1	X	2
	1.24	5	9.75
	1.22	4.82	11.98
	1.22	4.81	11.97
	1.18	5	12
	1.23	5.05	11.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)	4.94 ↑ (4.75)	11.48 ↑ (6.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Água Santa
73.9%

Draw
18.2%

Costa Rica
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

19.1%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

19.2%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Água Santa's performance.

Costa Rica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Costa Rica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Água Santa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Rica than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Costa Rica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Água Santa - Costa Rica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Costa Rica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Costa Rica have a series of home games.

In this match Água Santa is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Serie D
02.06.24	Pouso Alegre - Água Santa	0:0 ✺
25.05.24	Água Santa - São José-SP	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Santo André - Água Santa	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Internacional de Limeira - Água Santa	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Água Santa - Maringá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTTLW
- Costa Rica
FIFA World Cup
06.06.24	Costa Rica - Saint Kitts and Nevis	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
02.06.24	Costa Rica - Santo André	2:5 ✺
Friendly
31.05.24	Costa Rica - Uruguay	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
25.05.24	Patrocinense - Costa Rica	2:2 ✺
19.05.24	Costa Rica - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLTTW

Água Santa - Costa Rica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide