Match Info

Date: 23 August 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Águia Negra		Rio Branco AC ES

	1	X	2
	6	4.1	1.43
	4.7	4.1	1.48
	4.1	6.25	1.38
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	5.6	6	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (4.87)	4.93 ↑ (3.67)	1.41 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águia Negra
17.4%

Draw
18.3%

Rio Branco AC ES
64.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.8%

23.6%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

19%

72.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águia Negra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Rio Branco AC ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Branco AC ES's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águia Negra than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Branco AC ES could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Águia Negra is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rio Branco AC ES is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Rio Branco AC ES is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Águia Negra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águia Negra
Brazilian Serie D
15.08.21	Rio Branco-VN - Águia Negra	2:2 ✺
06.08.21	Águia Negra - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
01.08.21	Águia Negra - Caldense	0:6 ✺
24.07.21	Uberlândia - Águia Negra	2:0 ✺
19.07.21	Águia Negra - Uberlândia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLLLT
- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Serie D
14.08.21	Ferroviária - Rio Branco AC ES	2:0 ✺
08.08.21	Rio Branco AC ES - Rio Branco-VN	0:3 ✺
31.07.21	Boa Esporte - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1 ✺
25.07.21	Rio Branco AC ES - Patrocinense	2:1 ✺
18.07.21	Patrocinense - Rio Branco AC ES	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
20.06.21	Rio Branco AC ES - Águia Negra	2:0

Águia Negra - Rio Branco AC ES

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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