Match Info
Primera Division - Apertura - Round 7Date: 30 August 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Águila |
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Fuerte San Francisco |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.60 |
3.40 |
4.80 |
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1.56 |
3.55 |
5.20 |
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1.66 |
3.65 |
5.33 |
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1.67 |
3.52 |
5.36 |
 Watch |
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1.64 |
3.40 |
5.25 |
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1.68 |
3.67 |
4.98 |
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1.60 |
3.55 |
4.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.33) |
3.53 ↓
(4.4) |
5.1 ↓
(7.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Águila
56.1% | Draw
25.9% | Fuerte San Francisco
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Águila's form might have worsened.Fuerte San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fuerte San Francisco's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águila than the current prediction. (+14.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Águila, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fuerte San Francisco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Águila - Fuerte San Francisco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Martinez C. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Andrada F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 1, Andrada F. ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 2, Salazar C. ⚽,
- 68', 3 - 2, Andrada F. ⚽,
- 90+4', 4 - 2, Amaya B. ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águila won 2.Águila is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Fuerte has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Fuerte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Águila has had a series of away games. In this match, Águila is seen as the favorite.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Águila won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 1.5:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Águila won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Aguila | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:18 | 4 | 20 |
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| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 9 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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