Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Rubial (Águilas)

Referee: Acerete G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Águilas		Hércules

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.75	2.6
	2.45	2.90	2.65
	2.72	2.85	2.62
	3.23	2.65	2.83
	2.76	3.03	2.66	Watch
	3	2.45	2.8
	2.86	2.86	2.7
	2.65	2.8	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.48)	2.79 ↓ (3.03)	2.68 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
32.8%

Draw
32.9%

Hércules
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

30%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Águilas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-2%)

Águilas - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Salcedo J. (G) 2. Terranova J. 4. Sanchez A. (C) 22. Revuelta A. 3. Mas J. 11. Raigal J. 5. Perez A. 21. Heredia A. 17. Merchan D. 10. Castedo J. 19. Serrano Iranzo G.	13. Blazic A. (G) 2. Vazquez S. 4. Rentero J. (C) 15. Cantero Y. 23. Jimenez J. 18. Fidalgo A. 8. Rico M. 20. Escudero A. 37. Puch Herrantz M. 22. Narro V. 11. Jimenez A.
Substitutes
16. Collado A. 31. de Teresa E. 15. Fromsa 20. Lobede U. 18. Martinez J. 1. Martinez Marti I. (G) 14. Nyada A. 12. Seyran M.	14. Ben Hamed N. 5. Cantero R. 12. de Palmas R. 21. Galvan J. 16. Gismera A. 3. Lopez D. 7. Obeng I. 19. Sol F. 9. Toril A. 1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G)
Coaches
Hernandez A.	Company B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Vazquez S. 🟨,
45+3', Perez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Sanchez A. 🟥,
53', Jimenez A. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 0 - 1, Jimenez A. ⚽, Narro V. (A),
63', Rico M. 🟨,
69', Perez A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
69', Serrano Iranzo G. ↓, Nyada A. ↑,
71', Rico M. ↓, Ben Hamed N. ↑,
71', Jimenez A. ↓, Toril A. ↑,
83', Revuelta A. ↓, Lobede U. ↑,
83', Heredia A. ↓, Seyran M. ↑,
83', Castedo J. ↓, de Teresa E. ↑,
83', Escudero A. ↓, Obeng I. ↑,
88', Narro V. 🟨,
89', Toril A. 🟨,
90+2', Puch Herrantz M. ↓, Gismera A. ↑,
90+2', Narro V. ↓, Galvan J. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Águilas has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Águilas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10
16	Aguilas FC	6	1	2	3	5:10	-5	5

Last Results with these Odds

Águilas - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.6%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Hércules - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 33.43%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.09.26	Algeciras - Águilas	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Águilas - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sant Andreu - Águilas	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Águilas - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Águilas - Alcoyano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLTW
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.09.26	Hércules - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	CE Europa - Hércules	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Hércules - Atlético Madrid B	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Hércules - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Alcoyano - Hércules	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.24	Águilas - Hércules	1:2
09.08.23	Águilas - Hércules	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.04.22	Águilas - Hércules	1:1
05.12.21	Hércules - Águilas	2:1

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