Match Info

ICELAND: Division 2 - Round 10

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday


	Ægir		Selfoss

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.8	1.78
	3.3	4.2	1.74
	3.21	4.3	1.83
	3.9	4.62	1.62	Watch
	4	4	1.6
	4.02	4.15	1.65	Watch
	3.7	4.3	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (6.52)	4.2 ↓ (5.35)	1.7 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ægir
24.9%

Draw
21.6%

Selfoss
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

16.9%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

16.5%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ægir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ægir's performance.

Selfoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Selfoss might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ægir than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ægir that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Selfoss than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Selfoss could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Ægir - Selfoss Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ægir will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Baxter B. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Vokes A. L. ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Recent matches Ægir is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Selfoss is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Selfoss have a series of home games.

In this match Selfoss is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ægir won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ægir won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Ægir
Icelandic Division 2
29.06.24	Ægir - KFA	0:1 ✺
23.06.24	Völsungur - Ægir	1:2 ✺
14.06.24	Ægir - Kormákur Hvöt	0:0 ✺
31.05.24	Knattspyrnufélag Garðabæjar - Ægir	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Ægir - Höttur Huginn	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTWT
- UMF Selfoss
Icelandic Division 2
29.06.24	Höttur Huginn - Selfoss	0:1 ✺
24.06.24	Selfoss - Haukar	1:2 ✺
06.06.24	Selfoss - Reynir Sandgerði	2:1 ✺
31.05.24	Selfoss - Þróttur Vogum	6:1 ✺
18.05.24	Selfoss - KFA	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
02.08.23	Selfoss - Ægir	3:1
26.05.23	Ægir - Selfoss	1:3

Ægir - Selfoss: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide