Match Info

1. Lig - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Corum Stadyumu (Corum)

Referee: Guldibi O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Çorum		Keçiörengücü

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.62	3.87	4.58
	1.64	4.07	5.16
	1.79	3.7	4.16
	1.67	3.75	4.5
	1.7	3.88	4.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)	3.83 ↓ (4.01)	4.57 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Çorum
55.5%

Draw
24.2%

Keçiörengücü
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

23%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çorum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çorum than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Çorum - Keçiörengücü Predictions

Users Predictions: Çorum will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sehic I. (G) 23. Ergun U. 5. Osmanoglu S. 15. Sengul A. 39. Kas E. 14. Pedrinho 10. Erdogan Y. (C) 16. Fredy 18. Samudio B. 66. Ildiz A. 7. Gurler S.	18. Satilmis E. (G) 10. Bulut H. 15. Wellington Nascimento 4. Celik A. 11. Dere A. 36. Karaogul I. 14. Akdag I. (C) 7. Roshi O. 22. Ayan H. 21. Ezeh F. 78. Fernandes J.
Substitutes
27. Akinay H. (G) 9. Aleksic D. 3. Attamah J. 77. Coban B. 20. Gurbulak O. 22. Kalafat K. 19. Sertel C. 17. Thiam M. 6. Yazgan F. 21. Zubairu I.	9. Akman A. 17. Bilgic H. 5. Caliskan O. 6. Develi E. 70. Diaby O. 1. Erdogan M. (G) 73. Lus S. 23. Mexer 8. Rroca E. 28. Yilmaz E.
Coaches
Ucar U.	Kosukavak Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Fredy (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Samudio B. ↓, Thiam M. ↑,
52', Roshi O. ↓, Rroca E. ↑,
60', Dere A. ↓, Lus S. ↑,
64', Ildiz A. ↓, Yazgan F. ↑,
64', Gurler S. ↓, Coban B. ↑,
69', Thiam M. 🟨,
84', Karaogul I. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
84', Ayan H. ↓, Yilmaz E. ↑,
85', Sehic I. 🟨,
90+2', Pedrinho ↓, Attamah J. ↑,
90+5', Erdogan Y. ↓, Kalafat K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Çorum won 5.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Çorum is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Çorum: Cangoz A. (Suspended) Karadag E. (Suspended)

There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Keskin B. (Suspended)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Çorum won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 2.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Çorum won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keciorengucu	8	3	4	1	17:10	7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Çorum FK
Turkish First League
02.05.26	Çorum - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Sakaryaspor - Çorum	0:4 ✺
19.04.26	Çorum - Sivasspor	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Pendikspor - Çorum	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Çorum - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWTT
- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
02.05.26	Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü	1:4 ✺
26.04.26	Keçiörengücü - Manisa FK	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Erokspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Keçiörengücü - Serik Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Igdirspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
31.01.26	Çorum - Keçiörengücü	1:0
31.08.25	Keçiörengücü - Çorum	1:2
16.03.25	Çorum - Keçiörengücü	3:2
02.11.24	Keçiörengücü - Çorum	2:3
02.04.24	Keçiörengücü - Çorum	1:2
04.11.23	Çorum - Keçiörengücü	2:3

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