Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Épila		Binéfar

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.05	4.95
	1.72	3.18	5.18
	1.68	3.23	5.44
	1.73	2.9	5
	1.71	3.13	5.11
	1.71	3.14	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.53)	3.11 ↓ (3.49)	5.11 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Épila
53%

Draw
29.2%

Binéfar
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

26%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

24.4%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Épila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Épila's form might have worsened.

Binéfar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Épila than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Épila, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Binéfar than the current prediction. (-4%)

Épila - Binéfar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Épila won 3.

Épila is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Binéfar has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Épila has had a series of away games.

In this match, Épila is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Épila will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Épila won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Épila won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Binefar	5	2	1	2	11:10	1	7
9	Epila	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Épila CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
18.01.26	Casetas - Épila	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Zuera - Épila	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Épila - La Almunia	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Robres - Épila	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Belchite - Épila	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW
- CD Binéfar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
18.01.26	Binéfar - Belchite	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Binéfar - Andorra CF	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Utrillas - Binéfar	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Binéfar - Tamarite	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Atlético Monzón - Binéfar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
14.09.25	Binéfar - Épila	2:3
23.03.25	Épila - Binéfar	1:0
17.11.24	Binéfar - Épila	1:0
10.03.24	Binéfar - Épila	1:1
22.10.23	Épila - Binéfar	5:2
12.02.23	Épila - Binéfar	1:2
16.10.22	Binéfar - Épila	1:4

Épila - Binéfar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide