The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Épila 59.3%
Draw 25.9%
Utrillas 14.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.6%
23.8%
12.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.1%
22.6%
11.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Épila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Utrillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Épila than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Épila, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrillas than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Épila - Utrillas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Épila won 1.
Épila is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Utrillas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Épila is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Épila won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Épila won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
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