Match Info

NB III - Southwest - Round 11

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Érdi VSE		Nagykanizsa

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.54	1.68
	1.15	7.55	11.88	Watch
	3.72	3.64	1.8
	3.4	3.6	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.46)	4.58 ↑ (3.8)	4.31 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Érdi VSE
41.2%

Draw
28.5%

Nagykanizsa
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

23.9%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

23.7%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Érdi VSE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Érdi VSE's performance.

Nagykanizsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nagykanizsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Érdi VSE than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Érdi VSE that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagykanizsa than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nagykanizsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Érdi VSE - Nagykanizsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, ⚽,
10', 2 - 1, ⚽,
24', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
84', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NB III ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Érdi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nagykanizsa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nagykanizsa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nagykanizsa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Érdi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Érdi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Érdi VSE
Hungarian Cup
13.09.25	Érdi VSE - Győri ETO	0:3 ✺
Hungarian NB III Southwest
07.09.25	MTK Budapest II - Érdi VSE	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Érdi VSE - Paks II	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Pénzügyőr - Érdi VSE	0:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
23.08.25	Kaposvari Rakoczi - Érdi VSE	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLLWT
- Nagykanizsa FC
Hungarian NB III Southwest
28.09.25	Pénzügyőr - Nagykanizsa	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Nagykanizsa - Ferencváros II	2:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
13.09.25	Nagykanizsa - Kozármisleny	1:2 ✺
Hungarian NB III Southwest
07.09.25	Dunaújváros - Nagykanizsa	0:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
23.08.25	Budaörsi SC - Nagykanizsa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB III Southwest
24.03.24	Érdi VSE - Nagykanizsa	0:1
Hungarian NB III West
09.10.22	Érdi VSE - Nagykanizsa	0:2
09.12.21	Nagykanizsa - Érdi VSE	3:0
26.08.20	Nagykanizsa - Érdi VSE	0:2
Hungarian Cup
29.11.17	Nagykanizsa - Érdi VSE	3:2

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