Match Info

SWITZERLAND: PROMOTION LEAGUE

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Étoile Carouge		Breitenrain Bern

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.2	4.8
	1.5	4.33	5
	1.53	4.43	5.09
	1.48	4.4	5.05
	1.48	4.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)	4.35 ↑ (4.11)	4.99 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Carouge
60.8%

Draw
20.9%

Breitenrain Bern
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

22.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

21.6%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Breitenrain Bern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breitenrain Bern than the current prediction. (+2%)

Étoile Carouge - Breitenrain Bern Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antonio S. (G) 13. Zoukit N. 27. Munishi H. 7. Correia O. 10. Caslei B. 8. Chappuis A. (C) 24. Kursner R. 80. Oberli B. 5. Mulliqi B. 4. Magnin M. 25. Felder V.	1. Schindler C. (G) 17. Luthi L. 21. Wenger M. 5. Schneeberger L. 20. Hurter M. (C) 23. Pereira F. 6. Ochsenbein J. 7. Ajeti F. 16. Frey T. 22. Golliard R. 9. Dangubic M.
Substitutes
6. El Jaouhari M. 21. Fernandez R. 14. Hysenaj F. 20. Nvendo Ferrier V. 19. Ombala L. 26. Taillefert R. 23. Veloso M.	13. Briner E. 8. Freiburghaus S. 27. Hornung F. (G) 10. Neto 18. Obama P. 4. Ruegsegger A.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Étoile won 3.

Étoile is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Breitenrain is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Breitenrain could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Étoile is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Étoile to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Étoile won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Étoile won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Promotion League
07.10.23	Étoile Carouge - Biel-Bienne	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Lugano II - Étoile Carouge	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Étoile Carouge - Brühl	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	Servette U21 - Étoile Carouge	1:3 ✺
09.09.23	Étoile Carouge - Delémont	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWL
- FC Breitenrain Bern
Swiss Promotion League
14.10.23	Breitenrain Bern - Cham	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Bavois - Breitenrain Bern	4:2 ✺
30.09.23	Breitenrain Bern - Bulle	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	Paradiso - Breitenrain Bern	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Breitenrain Bern - St. Gallen II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
18.03.23	Breitenrain Bern - Étoile Carouge	2:2
09.09.22	Étoile Carouge - Breitenrain Bern	2:0
06.11.21	Breitenrain Bern - Étoile Carouge	2:0
02.11.19	Étoile Carouge - Breitenrain Bern	4:1
31.10.15	Étoile Carouge - Breitenrain Bern	3:1
13.05.15	Étoile Carouge - Breitenrain Bern	1:2

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