Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade du 4 Août (Ouagadougou) 🌤️ ...


	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou		ASFA Yennenga

	1	X	2
	2.86	2.87	2.53	Watch
	2.89	2.89	2.58
	2.85	2.85	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)	2.54 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou
32%

Draw
31.9%

ASFA Yennenga
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ASFA Yennenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ASFA Yennenga than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - ASFA Yennenga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Sare N. ⚽, Dicko I. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Sanfo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 2 - 1, Wisdom J. (Pen),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile Filante won 1.

Étoile Filante is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

ASFA Yennenga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Étoile Filante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Étoile Filante won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Étoile Filante won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso Premier League
02.11.25	Vitesse - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - AS Douanes	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Majestic - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	ASF Bobo Dioulasso - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - Sporting Cascades	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLTT
- ASFA Yennenga
Burkina Faso Premier League
02.11.25	AS Douanes - ASFA Yennenga	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	ASFA Yennenga - ASF Bobo Dioulasso	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	ASFA Yennenga - Rail Club du Kadiogo	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Sporting Cascades - ASFA Yennenga	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	RDF - ASFA Yennenga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Burkina Faso Premier League
28.03.25	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - ASFA Yennenga	0:2
10.11.24	ASFA Yennenga - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	1:0
23.04.24	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - ASFA Yennenga	1:0
05.11.23	ASFA Yennenga - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	2:0
02.04.23	ASFA Yennenga - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	0:0
23.10.22	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - ASFA Yennenga	1:1
08.05.22	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - ASFA Yennenga	1:0

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - ASFA Yennenga