Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 18

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Olympique de Sousse (Sousse)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport, Watania 1


	Étoile du Sahel		Ben Guerdane

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.92	4.25
	1.87	3.05	5.08
	1.83	2.91	5.12	Watch
	1.85	2.8	4.6
	1.89	3.14	4.54	Watch
	1.88	2.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.76)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	4.68 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile du Sahel
49.2%

Draw
31.2%

Ben Guerdane
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

28.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile du Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ben Guerdane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Étoile du Sahel - Ben Guerdane Predictions

Users Predictions: Étoile du Sahel will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Étoile du Sahel will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Ben Hessen S. (C) 30. Anane R. 7. Ben Seghaier M. 9. Chaabani M. 13. Chouchane M. 33. Dagdoug H. 6. Gbo C. 5. Hnid N. 22. Horchani A. 2. Omija A. 11. Senghor M.	16. Gazzeh R. (G) 33. Abderrazzak G. (C) 10. Ben Mcharek A. 6. Bida J. 25. Harrabi S. 5. Maaouani K. 23. Mhirsi I. 30. Oboh D. 15. Samb M. 3. Taous A. 18. Touray M.
Substitutes
29. Ben Amor M. 25. Ben Choug F. 38. Benmazouz M. 19. Bouslama M. . Elgleib 27. Khadraoui S. . Ouni R. . Smichi N. 1. Youssef K. (G)	. Abcha J. 34. Bouatay A. 28. Chaibi R. 11. Hakimi B. 7. M'Ghezzi Bakhouche A. 27. Salhi W. 26. Touis I. 4. Yeken M. H. 1. Zemzem B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Ben Mcharek A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chaabani M. ↓, Smichi N. ↑,
60', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
79', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile du Sahel won 3.

In this match, Étoile du Sahel is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Étoile du Sahel won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:8. (average 1.5:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Étoile du Sahel won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:2. (average 1.6:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ben Guerdane	4	2	2	0	7:5	2	8
10	Etoile Sahel	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile du Sahel
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
22.01.26	Club Africain - Étoile du Sahel	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Étoile du Sahel - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Étoile du Sahel - Sfaxien	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Bizertin - Étoile du Sahel	1:1 ✺
05.11.25	Étoile du Sahel - Zarzis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLTW
- US Ben Guerdane
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
23.01.26	Ben Guerdane - Marsa	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Olympique Béja - Ben Guerdane	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Espérance ST - Ben Guerdane	4:0 ✺
09.11.25	Ben Guerdane - Stade Tunisien	1:0 ✺
04.11.25	Soliman - Ben Guerdane	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
21.08.25	Ben Guerdane - Étoile du Sahel	0:0
12.04.25	Étoile du Sahel - Ben Guerdane	2:1
15.12.24	Ben Guerdane - Étoile du Sahel	1:3
05.11.23	Ben Guerdane - Étoile du Sahel	0:0
29.08.23	Étoile du Sahel - Ben Guerdane	1:0
27.06.23	Ben Guerdane - Étoile du Sahel	0:0
07.05.23	Étoile du Sahel - Ben Guerdane	2:0

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