Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 16

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Visma Arena (Växjö)

Referee: Lindgren M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Öster		Jönköpings Södra

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	5.75	Watch
	1.49	4.2	5.5
	1.52	4.2	5.75
	1.5	4.57	6.05
	1.44	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.46	4.5	5.95	Watch
	1.48	4.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.82)	4.29 ↑ (3.55)	5.7 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Öster
62.4%

Draw
21.5%

Jönköpings Södra
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.3%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

27.8%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Öster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Öster's performance.

Jönköpings Södra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jönköpings Södra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Öster than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Öster that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jönköpings Södra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Öster - Jönköpings Södra Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Öster will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Jönköping will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jönköping: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prekovic M. (G) 17. Herdonsson A. 3. Berg M. (C) 4. Hedlund S. 21. Sigurgeirsson R. T. 18. Ljung D. 22. Kusu M. 19. Bergmark-Wiberg A. 9. Soderberg N. 23. Rodic V. 10. Westermark J.	31. Celic D. (G) 12. Strandsater D. 4. Manns J. 16. Bjurnemark A. 19. Ben Lamin A. 7. Moenza M. 24. Nikolic M. 6. Karlin A. 8. Adrian S. 11. Dzelili F. 9. Silverholt T.
Substitutes
11. Bonnah A. 26. Gustafson A. 8. Hauksson A. T. 24. Johansson T. 7. Kozica D. 32. Lundahl Persson C. (G) 16. Magnusson I. 33. Varmanen T.	23. Delaveris F. 30. Eriksson A. (G) 21. Isaksson M. 28. Israelsson H. 25. Nordstrom E. 26. Sipos M. 18. Thorsson A.
Coaches
Tufegdzic S.	Garcia A.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Öster won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Öster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Öster have a series of guest games.

In this match Öster is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Öster won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Öster won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Östers IF
Swedish Superettan
23.07.23	Brage - Öster	1:2 ✺
14.07.23	Öster - Skövde AIK	2:1 ✺
07.07.23	Örebro - Öster	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.23	Trelleborg - Öster	2:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
10.06.23	Gefle - Öster	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTLL
- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Superettan
23.07.23	Utsikten - Jönköpings Södra	2:1 ✺
15.07.23	Jönköpings Södra - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
07.07.23	Landskrona - Jönköpings Södra	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Jönköpings Södra - Trelleborg	3:1 ✺
06.06.23	Helsingborg - Jönköpings Södra	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
01.06.23	Jönköpings Södra - Öster	2:3
06.09.22	Jönköpings Södra - Öster	2:1
28.05.22	Öster - Jönköpings Södra	2:0
14.08.21	Jönköpings Södra - Öster	2:1
27.07.21	Öster - Jönköpings Södra	1:0
19.09.20	Jönköpings Södra - Öster	4:1
18.07.20	Öster - Jönköpings Södra	1:3

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