Match Info

Date: 22 May 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Österlen		Qviding

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Österlen
31.8%

Draw
25%

Qviding
43.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

20%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Österlen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Österlen's form might have worsened.

Qviding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qviding's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Österlen than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qviding than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qviding could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan (Promotion)).

Österlen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Qviding is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Österlen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Österlen FF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
15.05.21	Oskarshamn - Österlen	4:1 ✺
08.05.21	Österlen - Torn	1:3 ✺
01.05.21	Linköping City - Österlen	1:5 ✺
24.04.21	Österlen - Tvååker	0:1 ✺
17.04.21	Skövde AIK - Österlen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Qviding FIF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
13.05.21	Torn - Qviding	1:4 ✺
09.05.21	Qviding - Linköping City	3:1 ✺
01.05.21	Assyriska Turabdin IK - Qviding	4:5 ✺
24.04.21	Qviding - IFK Malmö	0:0 ✺
17.04.21	Tvååker - Qviding	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWTT

Österlen - Qviding