Match Info

Superettan - Round 18

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Jamtkraft Arena (Ostersund)

Referee: Hasani R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Östersund		Sundsvall

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	6.5
	1.44	4.10	6.25
	1.41	4.55	7.3
	1.43	4.65	8.75
	1.39	4.55	8.06	Watch
	1.39	4.35	8.55
	1.42	4.25	7.44	Watch
	1.39	4.3	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.64)	4.37 ↑ (3.88)	7.46 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Östersund
66.2%

Draw
21.3%

Sundsvall
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

23.8%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

22.8%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Östersund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Östersund's performance.

Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sundsvall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Östersund than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Östersund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sundsvall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

Östersund - Sundsvall Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Östersund (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Östersund will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Forsell R. (G) 27. Miljanovic D. 19. Widgren D. (C) 14. Anyanwu S. 3. Azzi H. 28. Adjoumani Y. 16. Begic A. 17. Edwards C. 8. Ozkan E. 22. Ali J. 10. Marklund S.	1. Olsson J. (G) 3. Hallin M. 18. Forsberg L. 4. Hedenquist J. 2. Pantelidis A. 9. Kagayama T. 6. Manchon M. (C) 21. Navik L. 19. Gojani E. 15. Ekong S. 14. Demirol A.
Substitutes
21. Bozickovic L. 15. Molls D. 7. Odenlind G. 18. Palomino M. 5. Qasem A. A. 9. Stensrud A. 1. Uppenberg M. (G) 4. Westerberg J. 29. Worke E. Y.	5. Atlee A. 27. Bahtijar A. 20. Bjornler J. 26. Carrick E. 22. Eriksson M. 24. Halling I. 16. Hansson E. 13. Henareh D. (G) 30. Mambu J.
Coaches
Miljanovic N.	Hansen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Ali J. ⚽, Marklund S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Ali J. 🟨,
63', Manchon M. ↓, Halling I. ↑,
69', Ali J. ↓, Palomino M. ↑,
69', Halling I. 🟨,
72', Kagayama T. ↓, Carrick E. ↑,
75', Hallin M. 🟨,
80', Widgren D. ↓, Qasem A. A. ↑,
88', Gojani E. ↓, Atlee A. ↑,
90+2', Ozkan E. ↓, Molls D. ↑,
90+7', Forsberg L. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Östersund won 1.

Östersund is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sundsvall is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Östersund is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Östersund won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Östersund won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Ostersund: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ostersund	25	11	10	4	33:24	9	43
16	Sundsvall	25	6	1	18	19:53	-34	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Östersunds FK
Swedish Superettan
01.08.26	Östersund - Öster	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Norrby - Östersund	2:2 ✺
18.07.26	Östersund - Landskrona	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Sundsvall - Östersund	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Östersund - Norrköping	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWL
- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Superettan
01.08.26	Sandviken - Sundsvall	5:0 ✺
26.07.26	Sundsvall - Falkenberg	1:2 ✺
20.07.26	Norrby - Sundsvall	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Sundsvall - Östersund	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Helsingborg - Sundsvall	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
27.06.26	Sundsvall - Östersund	0:2
16.08.25	Östersund - Sundsvall	1:3
28.06.25	Sundsvall - Östersund	1:1
18.09.24	Östersund - Sundsvall	1:2
30.03.24	Sundsvall - Östersund	1:0
29.07.23	Östersund - Sundsvall	1:1
18.04.23	Sundsvall - Östersund	0:3

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