Match Info

ChNL - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Town Stadium Usti (Usti nad Labem)

Referee: Trska A. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Chnliga.tv


	Ústí nad Labem		Baník Ostrava B

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.33
	1.72	3.65	3.9
	1.74	4.15	4.15
	1.84	3.60	3.92	Watch
	1.72	3.66	4.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.84)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	4.08 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ústí nad Labem
52.9%

Draw
24.6%

Baník Ostrava B
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25.8%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

21.6%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ústí nad Labem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Baník Ostrava B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ústí nad Labem than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ústí nad Labem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava B than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baník Ostrava B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ústí nad Labem - Baník Ostrava B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ústí nad Labem will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Baník Ostrava B will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ústí nad Labem (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Grigar T. (G) 3. Brezina D. 10. Cerny D. 5. Citek V. 23. Idumbo-Muzambo F. 16. Kodad L. 14. Moulis P. 11. Novotny F. 6. Osaghae S. 7. Richter D. (C) 21. Zezulka O.	60. Hruby M. (G) 9. Holan D. 14. Komljenovic S. 3. Krupicka D. 4. Mekota P. 28. Musak A. 5. Nogha R. 16. Simersky D. (C) 21. Sirotek T. 18. Temel M. 26. Zlatohlavek T.
Substitutes
9. Cervenka M. 29. Ctvrtecka J. (G) 19. Goj P. 76. Marquinho 1. Nemec D. (G) 4. Toure S. 12. Turecek M.	8. Graclik J. 42. Micek J. 30. Moucka M. (G) 12. Ninac S. 22. Ogbu E. 17. Riha Z. 10. Skrkon V.
Coaches
Habanec S.	Dvornik J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Citek V. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Simersky D. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Idumbo-Muzambo F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Musak A. ↓, Skrkon V. ↑,
60', Zlatohlavek T. ↓, Ogbu E. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Idumbo-Muzambo F. ⚽,
71', Kodad L. ↓, Goj P. ↑,
73', 4 - 1, Richter D. ⚽,
75', Idumbo-Muzambo F. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
79', Mekota P. ↓, Riha Z. ↑,
79', Komljenovic S. ↓, Ninac S. ↑,
83', Cerny D. ↓, Cervenka M. ↑,
83', Brezina D. ↓, Toure S. ↑,
83', Osaghae S. ↓, Turecek M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

Ústí nad Labem has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Baník Ostrava B is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ústí nad Labem is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ústí nad Labem
Czech Division 2
17.10.25	Opava - Ústí nad Labem	3:3 ✺
03.10.25	Ústí nad Labem - Zbrojovka Brno	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Viktoria Žižkov - Ústí nad Labem	1:1 ✺
Czech Cup
24.09.25	Ústí nad Labem - Zlín	0:2 ✺
Czech Division 2
19.09.25	Ústí nad Labem - Prostějov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLL
- Baník Ostrava B
Czech Division 2
18.10.25	Zbrojovka Brno - Baník Ostrava B	4:1 ✺
05.10.25	Baník Ostrava B - Slavia Prague B	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Vysočina Jihlava - Baník Ostrava B	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Baník Ostrava B - Viktoria Žižkov	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Opava - Baník Ostrava B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

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