Match Info

3. CFL - Group B - Round 28

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Town Stadium Usti (Usti nad Labem)


	Ústí nad Labem		Zápy

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.75	7.25
	1.35	4.8	6.8
	1.37	4.76	6.72
	1.38	4.65	6.76	Watch
	1.34	4.7	7.15
	1.35	4.8	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.52)	4.74 ↑ (3.95)	6.91 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ústí nad Labem
67.5%

Draw
19.2%

Zápy
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22.3%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

20.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ústí nad Labem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ústí nad Labem's performance.

Zápy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zápy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ústí nad Labem than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zápy than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Ústí nad Labem - Zápy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Grigar T. (G) 3. Brezina D. (C) 10. Cerny D. 23. Cicovsky A. 5. Citek V. 77. Fantis A. 16. Kodad L. 22. Kott T. 27. Kucera T. 7. Richter D. 12. Turecek M.	1. Rehak J. (G) 17. Duben J. (C) 14. Elias J. 6. Kavalir P. 7. Khrolenok N. 20. Kocourek O. 10. Matejka T. 18. Petrlak M. 5. Stropek D. 15. Woitek L. 23. Zbrozek K.
Substitutes
18. Hycka A. 76. Marquinho 14. Moulis P. 1. Nemec D. (G) 21. Zezulka O.	12. Chadziev N. 28. Durov K. (G) 16. Kolodezhny V. V. 21. Kubu M. 2. Nazarenko K. 11. Zoubek F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Duben J. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Kott T. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Matejka T. ⚽,
36', Kavalir P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fantis A. ↓, Moulis P. ↑,
63', Khrolenok N. ↓, Kolodezhny V. V. ↑,
63', Turecek M. ↓, Zezulka O. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Moulis P. ⚽,
68', 3 - 1, Kodad L. ⚽,
69', Kott T. 🟨,
76', Matejka T. ↓, Chadziev N. ↑,
76', Zbrozek K. ↓, Nazarenko K. ↑,
76', Kavalir P. ↓, Zoubek F. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL Play Offs and 3).

Ústí nad Labem is Confirmed as championsnQualified for CFL Play Offs

Ústí nad Labem has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zápy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zápy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zápy has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ústí nad Labem is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ústí nad Labem will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ústí nad Labem won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ústí nad Labem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ústí nad Labem
Czech CFL Group B
10.05.25	Mladá Boleslav B - Ústí nad Labem	0:3 ✺
07.05.25	Ústí nad Labem - Slovan Liberec B	2:2 ✺
01.05.25	Ústí nad Labem - Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Teplice B - Ústí nad Labem	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Sokol Brozany - Ústí nad Labem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWWW
- SK Zápy
Czech CFL Group B
11.05.25	Zápy - Sparta Kolín	2:2 ✺
07.05.25	Zápy - Jablonec B	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Zápy - Mladá Boleslav B	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí - Zápy	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Zápy - Teplice B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Czech CFL Group B
20.10.24	Zápy - Ústí nad Labem	0:0
11.05.24	Ústí nad Labem - Zápy	0:3
15.10.23	Zápy - Ústí nad Labem	2:5
10.06.23	Zápy - Ústí nad Labem	5:0
12.11.22	Ústí nad Labem - Zápy	0:1

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