Match Info

Division 2 - Round 11

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Þróttur Vogum		Grótta

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	2.95
	2.14	3.7	2.65
	2.19	3.91	2.58
	2.19	3.66	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.97)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	2.72 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Þróttur Vogum
42.7%

Draw
24.1%

Grótta
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.1%

24.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

24.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Þróttur Vogum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Grótta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Þróttur Vogum than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grótta than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Þróttur Vogum - Grótta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Þróttur Vogum won 0.

Recent performances by Þróttur Vogum have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Grótta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Þróttur Vogum will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Þróttur Vogum won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Þróttur Vogum won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Þróttur Vogum
Icelandic Division 2
29.06.25	Höttur Huginn - Þróttur Vogum	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Þróttur Vogum - Kormákur Hvöt	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Þróttur Vogum - Haukar	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Víkingur Ólafsvík - Þróttur Vogum	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Þróttur Vogum - Ægir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWWLL
- IF Grótta
Icelandic Division 2
30.06.25	Grótta - Haukar	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Víkingur Ólafsvík - Grótta	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	Grótta - Ægir	3:3 ✺
09.06.25	KFA - Grótta	2:3 ✺
04.06.25	Grótta - Knattspyrnufélag Garðabæjar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
18.08.22	Þróttur Vogum - Grótta	0:1
27.06.22	Grótta - Þróttur Vogum	1:0
Icelandic League Cup
19.02.22	Grótta - Þróttur Vogum	2:2
Icelandic Cup
01.05.21	Þróttur Vogum - Grótta	1:3
Icelandic Division 2
26.07.18	Þróttur Vogum - Grótta	0:0
11.05.18	Grótta - Þróttur Vogum	1:2

Þróttur Vogum - Grótta