Match Info

3. Liga - West - Round 29

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Častkovce		Hamsik Academy

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.1
	2.8	3.6	2.15
	2.06	3.83	2.79
	2.95	3.73	2.08	Watch
	3.04	3.44	2.09
	2.8	3.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.78)	3.62 ↓ (3.63)	2.23 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Častkovce
33.5%

Draw
25.3%

Hamsik Academy
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

25.1%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

23.4%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Častkovce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Častkovce's performance.

Hamsik Academy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hamsik Academy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Častkovce than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Častkovce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamsik Academy than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamsik Academy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Častkovce - Hamsik Academy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Častkovce has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Hamsik Academy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Častkovce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hamsik Academy is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Častkovce won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Častkovce won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OK Častkovce
Slovak 3 Liga West
27.04.25	Družstevník Veľké Ludince - Častkovce	1:1 ✺
23.04.25	Častkovce - Slovan Duslo Šaľa	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Beluša - Častkovce	2:5 ✺
12.04.25	Častkovce - Slovan Galanta	1:7 ✺
06.04.25	Podkonice - Častkovce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TLWLL
- Hamsik Academy Banska Bystrica
Slovak 3 Liga West
23.04.25	Hamsik Academy - Družstevník Veľké Ludince	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Hamsik Academy - Beluša	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Slovan Galanta - Hamsik Academy	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Hamsik Academy - Podkonice	1:1 ✺
26.03.25	Inter Bratislava - Hamsik Academy	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 3 Liga West
20.10.24	Hamsik Academy - Častkovce	2:0
25.05.24	Častkovce - Hamsik Academy	1:0
28.10.23	Hamsik Academy - Častkovce	2:0
12.03.23	Hamsik Academy - Častkovce	3:1
13.08.22	Častkovce - Hamsik Academy	1:0

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