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Current Win Probability
Častkovce 21.5%
Draw 23%
Púchov 55.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.7%
25%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25%
24.3%
50.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Častkovce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Púchov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Púchov's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Častkovce than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Púchov than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 2nd).
In recent outings, Častkovce has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Púchov shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Púchov carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Častkovce has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:8 (averaging 2:4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Častkovce against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:8 goals (averaging 2:4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Puchov
9
5
3
1
18:5
13
18
13
Castkovce
9
2
2
5
17:20
-3
8
Last Results with these Odds
Púchov - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 49.29%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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