The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Čáslav 51.1%
Draw 23%
Velké Hamry 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.9%
22.3%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
21.8%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Čáslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Velké Hamry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Čáslav than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Čáslav, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velké Hamry than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Čáslav - Velké Hamry Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
87. Zacharias R. (G) 13. Batka P. 10. Chocholaty S. (C) 3. Fuhrer P. 14. Machacek D. 6. Mahr J. 7. Simon V. 30. Slavik J. 15. Smutny M. 21. Spevak M. 20. Svoboda T.
18. Mecir D. (G) 6. Balaz P. 96. Bulir T. 46. Jindrisek J. 77. Knejzlik K. 26. Krejcik P. 7. Kubin M. 22. Novotny S. 5. Sidlo J. . 17. Sirucek L. 48. Stepanek O. (C)
Substitutes
18. Jarkovsky M. 9. Kvacek M. 5. Machu S. 11. Nikodem J. 17. Skokan F. 27. Vesely F. 29. Vyhnanek D. (G)
1. Dedek L. (G) 93. Etemike O. 10. Fofana S. 88. Kocka S. 8. Leshchuk M. 4. Masternak W. 9. Valenta O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Sirucek L. 🟨,
43', Krejcik P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Slavik J. ↓, Kvacek M. ↑,
46', Chocholaty S. ↓, Machu S. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Kubin M. ⚽,
55', Sirucek L. ↓, Etemike O. ↑,
64', Smutny M. ↓, Nikodem J. ↑,
67', 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Simon V. ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, Svoboda T. ⚽,
78', Kocka S. 🟨,
81', Mahr J. ↓, Vesely F. ↑,
85', Valenta O. 🟨,
89', Novotny S. 🟨,
90+1', Simon V. ↓, Skokan F. ↑,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 11th and 16th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Čáslav won 2.
Čáslav has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Velké Hamry is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Velké Hamry could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Čáslav is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Čáslav has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:11 (averaging 1.7:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Čáslav against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 10:4 goals (averaging 2:0.8 per game).