Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 19

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	İnegölspor		Etimesgut

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.6	4.4
	1.66	3.75	4.75
	1.65	3.75	4.76
	1.62	3.6	4.76
	1.55	3.6	4.5
	1.61	3.72	4.75
	1.66	3.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.03)	3.65 ↑ (3.2)	4.62 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İnegölspor
55.6%

Draw
24.8%

Etimesgut
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.4%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İnegölspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İnegölspor's performance.

Etimesgut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Etimesgut might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İnegölspor than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İnegölspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etimesgut than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Etimesgut could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

İnegölspor - Etimesgut Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches İnegölspor won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match İnegölspor is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches İnegölspor won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams İnegölspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İnegölspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
19.12.23	Arnavutköy - İnegölspor	3:3 ✺
10.12.23	İnegölspor - Isparta 32 Spor	3:1 ✺
03.12.23	Karaman Belediyespor - İnegölspor	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	İnegölspor - Amed SK	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Derince Belediyespor - İnegölspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLTL
- Etimesgut SK
Turkish Second League Red Group
19.12.23	Etimesgut - Fethiyespor	1:0 ✺
11.12.23	24 Erzincanspor - Etimesgut	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
07.12.23	Gaziantep - Etimesgut	2:1 ET ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.11.23	Etimesgut - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Isparta 32 Spor - Etimesgut	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
09.03.22	Etimesgut - İnegölspor	2:3
19.09.21	İnegölspor - Etimesgut	0:2
10.02.18	Etimesgut - İnegölspor	0:3
23.09.17	İnegölspor - Etimesgut	1:1
23.04.17	İnegölspor - Etimesgut	1:2
Turkish Cup
19.01.16	Etimesgut - İnegölspor	0:1
16.12.15	İnegölspor - Etimesgut	3:0

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