Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I Liqa - Round 20

Date: 4 April 2024, Thursday


	İrəvan		Araz Saatlı

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	4	4.2	Watch
	1.4	4.4	5.5
	1.55	4	4.82
	1.63	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)	4.1 ↑ (4)	4.68 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İrəvan
58.5%

Draw
22.1%

Araz Saatlı
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

15.5%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İrəvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Araz Saatlı has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İrəvan than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İrəvan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Saatlı than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Araz Saatlı could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

İrəvan - Araz Saatlı Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. İrəvan will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Araz Saatlı will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Yusifli R. (Pen),
37', 0 - 2, Cam L. ⚽,
45+4', 0 - 3, Avazov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Ayralov B. 🟨,
77', 0 - 4, Yusifli R. ⚽,
90', 1 - 4, Karimzada F. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches İrəvan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Araz Saatlı is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match İrəvan is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches İrəvan won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-2.

Including matches at home between the teams İrəvan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İrəvan FK
Azerbaijan First Division
28.03.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - İrəvan	3:0 ✺
14.03.24	İrəvan - Zagatala	3:0 ✺
07.03.24	Difai Ağsu - İrəvan	5:0 ✺
28.02.24	İrəvan - MOIK Baku	0:7 ✺
22.02.24	İrəvan - Mingachevir	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLW
- Araz Saatlı
Azerbaijan First Division
28.03.24	Araz Saatlı - Mingachevir	4:0 ✺
13.03.24	İmişli - Araz Saatlı	4:1 ✺
06.03.24	MOIK Baku - Araz Saatlı	6:4 ✺
29.02.24	Araz Saatlı - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Karvan - Araz Saatlı	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
25.12.23	Araz Saatlı - İrəvan	1:2
Azerbaijan Cup
28.11.23	Araz Saatlı - İrəvan	1:4
Azerbaijan First Division
05.10.23	İrəvan - Araz Saatlı	7:0

İrəvan - Araz Saatlı: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide