Match Info

Date: 28 November 2020, Saturday


	İstanbul Başakşehir		Denizlispor

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.4	5	6.5
	1.4	4.8	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.5	6.4
	1.44	4.8	7.31
	1.42	4.4	7	Watch
	1.44	4.7	7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.36)	4.71 ↓ (4.84)	6.74 ↓ (8.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
66.2%

Draw
19.9%

Denizlispor
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

19.4%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.8%

17%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Denizlispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.8%	5.1%	23.1%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Denizlispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 28 - 71.8%). Denizlispor will win (votes: 9 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 57.7% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 20 in the zone Relegation to 1. Lig).

Başakşehir has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (25%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Denizlispor has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Başakşehir is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Denizlispor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Başakşehir is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Başakşehir won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
UEFA Champions League
24.11.20	Manchester United - İstanbul Başakşehir	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
21.11.20	Beşiktaş - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:2 ✺
08.11.20	İstanbul Başakşehir - Gençlerbirliği	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.20	İstanbul Başakşehir - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.11.20	Konyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LLWWW
- Denizlispor
Turkish Cup
24.11.20	Denizlispor - Turgutlu	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
21.11.20	Denizlispor - Gaziantep	0:1 ✺
08.11.20	Yeni Malatyaspor - Denizlispor	2:0 ✺
26.10.20	Denizlispor - Beşiktaş	2:3 ✺
19.10.20	Gençlerbirliği - Denizlispor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
07.07.20	İstanbul Başakşehir - Denizlispor	2:0
08.12.19	Denizlispor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1
Turkish First League
01.04.14	İstanbul Başakşehir - Denizlispor	1:0
23.11.13	Denizlispor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1

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