Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 13

Date: 27 November 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 2


	İstanbul Başakşehir		Pendikspor

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.4
	2.02	3.45	3.6	Watch
	2.13	3.55	3.63
	2.14	3.5	3.63
	1.95	3.7	3.2
	2.03	3.54	3.48	Watch
	1.95	3.45	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.75)	3.5 ↓ (3.72)	3.53 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
46.3%

Draw
27%

Pendikspor
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

26.6%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İstanbul Başakşehir's form might have worsened.

Pendikspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pendikspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pendikspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Pendikspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Pendikspor will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Babacan V. (C) 15. Dubois L. 5. Duarte L. 3. Opoku J. 88. Sertel C. 26. Ilkhan E. 10. Ozcan B. 23. Turuc D. 19. Abeid M. 25. Figueiredo J. 9. Piatek K.	1. Canpolat E. (G) 22. Ozgenc E. 20. Sulungoz B. 23. Welinton 6. Sequeira 66. Lusamba A. 24. Akdag I. 21. Diaby A. 8. Cekici E. 11. Akbunar H. 99. Yardimci E.
Substitutes
27. Ba O. 98. Dilmen D. (G) 4. Ergun O. 7. Gurler S. 90. Kartsev E. 17. Keny P. P. 6. Lima L. 14. Pelkas D. 42. Sahiner O. 21. Tekdemir M.	13. Akca M. 61. Asan S. 58. Kaya G. 19. Koka 18. Midtsjo F. 35. Ogur B. (G) 14. Rassoul J. K. 10. Romero O. 34. Thuram 4. Vukovic J.
Coaches
Atan C.	Vieira I.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 16).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Başakşehir is a favorite.

There are questionable in Başakşehir: Edgar Ie (Muscle Injury) Koyuncu E. A. (Knock) Okechukwu A. (Ankle Injury) Sahiner O. (Muscle Injury) Sengezer M. (Muscle Injury) Szysz P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Pendikspor: Eze E. (Ankle Injury) Koka (Muscle Injury) Romero O. (Muscle Injury) Tasdemir E. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
12.11.23	Beşiktaş - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Ankaragücü	3:3 ✺
29.10.23	Antalyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Gaziantep	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLTW
- Pendikspor
Turkish Super League
12.11.23	Pendikspor - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	İstanbulspor - Pendikspor	2:4 ✺
29.10.23	Pendikspor - Fenerbahçe	0:5 ✺
21.10.23	Konyaspor - Pendikspor	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Pendikspor - Sivasspor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLWL

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