Match Info

TURKEY: Turkish Cup - Round 2

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Turkey	A Spor


	İstanbul Başakşehir		Çorum

	1	X	2
	1.02	26	41
	1.02	17.5	46
	1.06	9	26
	1.03	11.86	33
	1	15.57	50
	1.03	19	41
	1.03	23	38	Watch
	1.06	9	26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↓ (1.39)	16.37 ↑ (4.78)	37.63 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
91.7%

Draw
5.8%

Çorum
2.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

19.3%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

19.9%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in İstanbul Başakşehir's performance.

Çorum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Çorum might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-23.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with İstanbul Başakşehir that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Çorum than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Çorum could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	17.2%	6.9%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Çorum Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Çorum will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Dilmen D. (G) 15. Gureler H. 3. Opoku J. 6. Lima L. (C) 2. Ozdemir B. 26. Sari Y. 17. Beyaz O. 22. Djalo M. 7. Gurler S. 25. Figueiredo J. 91. Davidson	1. Kivanc A. (G) 91. Diedhiou L. 95. Kilicoglu B. 44. Rencber T. I. 19. Yalcinkaya M. (C) 93. Kabatas I. 53. Bozaci C. 94. Guler A. 32. Polat P. 90. Hassan U. 7. Akdogan H.
Substitutes
35. Acun H. E. 1. Babacan V. (G) 27. Ba O. 24. Karaagac E. 8. Kemen O. 11. Keny P. P. 9. Piatek K. 42. Sahiner O. 23. Turuc D. 80. Yoro A.	96. Acisu A. S. 77. Arslan E. 49. Atalay H. 15. Divan Y. 33. Guler M. (G) 50. Guven U. 97. Ozcelik E. A. 43. Peker Y. 55. Uzum D.
Coaches
Atan C.	Ozbalta S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Figueiredo J. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Figueiredo J. ⚽, Lima L. (A),
38', Opoku J. 🟨,
39', 2 - 1, Yalcinkaya M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 3 - 1, Gureler H. ⚽, Sari Y. (A),
61', Opoku J. ↓, Ba O. ↑,
61', Ozdemir B. ↓, Piatek K. ↑,
69', Kabatas I. ↓, Divan Y. ↑,
70', Kilicoglu B. ↓, Peker Y. ↑,
70', Polat P. ↓, Arslan E. ↑,
74', Lima L. ↓, Sahiner O. ↑,
81', Sari Y. ↓, Turuc D. ↑,
81', Gurler S. ↓, Karaagac E. ↑,
81', Hassan U. ↓, Acisu A. S. ↑,
86', Guler A. ↓, Ozcelik E. A. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 1, Figueiredo J. ⚽, Piatek K. (A),

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Başakşehir could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Çorum have a series of home games.

In this match Başakşehir is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
01.02.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor	4:0 ✺
25.01.25	Alanyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	5:4 ✺
18.01.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Çaykur Rizespor	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
08.01.25	Galatasaray - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWLT
- Çorum FK
Turkish First League
31.01.25	Çorum - Bandırmaspor	4:0 ✺
26.01.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çorum	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Çorum - Umraniyespor	3:1 ✺
13.01.25	Çorum - İstanbulspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
09.01.25	Çorum - Konyaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL

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