Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 24

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Kargin E. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	İstanbul Başakşehir		İstanbulspor

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	5	Watch
	1.57	4	5.25
	1.46	3.95	7.8	Watch
	1.59	4.05	5.9
	1.61	4.2	5.87
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.61	4.22	5.91	Watch
	1.54	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.45)	4.12 ↓ (4.4)	5.8 ↓ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
60.7%

Draw
23%

İstanbulspor
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

21.3%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.5%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

İstanbulspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	9.5%	14.3%

İstanbul Başakşehir - İstanbulspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). İstanbulspor will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Babacan V. (G) 5. Duarte L. 27. Ba O. 3. Opoku J. 15. Dubois L. 89. Souza 23. Turuc D. 26. Ilkhan E. 10. Ozcan B. 25. Figueiredo J. 9. Piatek K.	59. Arda A. (G) 23. Erdogan O. 4. Yesil M. 14. Deli S. 7. Sambissa D. 34. Loshaj F. 6. Vorobjovas M. 24. Sarikaya M. 66. Yasar A. 10. Rroca E. 88. Traore D.
Substitutes
19. Abeid M. 8. Aleksic D. 80. Aydogmus B. 91. Celik B. 98. Dilmen D. (G) 4. Ergun O. 20. Kemen O. 17. Keny P. P. 6. Lima L. 21. Tekdemir M.	13. Coly R. 11. Koylu K. 99. Laurentino J. 5. Ozturk E. 20. Sahan O. 41. Samdanli T. 17. Sarialioglu E. A. 26. Serbest M. (G) 8. Temel V. 52. Topatar I.
Coaches
Atan C.	Korkmaz O.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Başakşehir is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches İstanbulspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Başakşehir is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Başakşehir won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
28.01.24	Konyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:3 ✺
24.01.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.01.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.01.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Alanyaspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTWW
- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish Super League
29.01.24	İstanbulspor - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
25.01.24	Galatasaray - İstanbulspor	3:1 ✺
22.01.24	Kayserispor - İstanbulspor	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	İstanbulspor - Konyaspor	0:0 ✺
10.01.24	Adana Demirspor - İstanbulspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
17.09.23	İstanbulspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:2
15.04.23	İstanbulspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0
16.10.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - İstanbulspor	2:0

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