Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 31

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	İstanbulspor		Çaykur Rizespor

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.7	Watch
	4.4	3.8	1.7
	4.5	3.8	1.72	Watch
	4.92	4.01	1.73
	4.92	4.01	1.71
	4.33	3.9	1.73
	4.68	4.17	1.75	Watch
	4.3	3.8	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (3.96)	3.94 ↑ (3.8)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbulspor
20.6%

Draw
24.1%

Çaykur Rizespor
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

24.8%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

23.9%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Çaykur Rizespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	23.3%	63.3%

İstanbulspor - Çaykur Rizespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Rizespor will win (votes: 19 - 63.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rizespor: 46.1% – 80.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
59. Arda A. (G) 13. Coly R. 14. Deli S. 21. Duhaney D. 19. Gultekin E. 99. Laurentino J. 34. Loshaj F. 12. Mamadou M. 20. Sahan O. 7. Sambissa D. 4. Yesil M.	23. Akkan G. (G) 28. Akintola B. 2. Alikulov K. 89. Minchev M. 10. Olawoyin I. 3. Pehlivan I. 37. Sahin T. 6. Shelvey J. 53. Topcu E. H. 8. Varesanovic D. 77. Zeqiri A.
Substitutes
1. Eser M. (G) 41. Samdanli T. 97. San E. A. 26. Serbest M. (G) 8. Temel V. 88. Traore D. 70. Vardar K. (G) 18. Vurusaner E. M.	1. Cetin T. (G) 19. Diouf O. 9. Gaich A. 11. Gustavo Sauer 27. Korkmaz E. 4. Mocsi A. 24. Sarikaya M. 66. Usta G. 16. Yasar A. 40. Yurdakul C. (G)
Coaches
Korkmaz O.	Palut I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Olawoyin I. ⚽, Zeqiri A. (A),
44', 0 - 2, Minchev M. ⚽, Zeqiri A. (A),
45', Coly R. 🟨,
45+1', Deli S. 🟨,
45+1', Topcu E. H. 🟨,
45+6', Sahan O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sahan O. ↓, Temel V. ↑,
54', Alikulov K. 🟨,
59', Zeqiri A. ↓, Gustavo Sauer ↑,
62', Mamadou M. ↓, Samdanli T. ↑,
64', 0 - 3, Minchev M. ⚽, Gustavo Sauer (A),
67', Topcu E. H. ↓, Yasar A. ↑,
67', Varesanovic D. ↓, Sarikaya M. ↑,
68', Minchev M. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
74', Sambissa D. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
81', Olawoyin I. ↓, Mocsi A. ↑,
82', Loshaj F. 🟨,
88', Gultekin E. ↓, Vurusaner E. M. ↑,
88', Laurentino J. ↓, San E. A. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 4, Akintola B. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 7).

İstanbulspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rizespor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Rizespor is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams İstanbulspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish Super League
15.03.24	Pendikspor - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	İstanbulspor - Kasımpaşa	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Ankaragücü - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	İstanbulspor - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Antalyaspor - İstanbulspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLTLT
- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League
17.03.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Gaziantep	3:1 ✺
08.03.24	Galatasaray - Çaykur Rizespor	6:2 ✺
02.03.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Kayserispor	3:0 ✺
23.02.24	Samsunspor - Çaykur Rizespor	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Fenerbahçe	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
12.11.23	Çaykur Rizespor - İstanbulspor	1:0
Turkish First League
01.04.18	İstanbulspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:3
19.11.17	Çaykur Rizespor - İstanbulspor	3:0
Turkish Cup
01.10.13	İstanbulspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:1

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