Match Info

WWIN Liga BiH - Round 27

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Pecara (Široki Brijeg)

Referee: Gedzic D. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go


	Široki Brijeg		GOŠK Gabela

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.75	9.5
	1.18	5.8	15
	1.15	6	13.94
	1.2	5.58	13.6	Watch
	1.22	5.75	8
	1.3	5.02	10
	1.19	6	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	5.7 ↑ (4.99)	12.01 ↑ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Široki Brijeg
76.2%

Draw
16.2%

GOŠK Gabela
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

18.5%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

11.9%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Široki Brijeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Široki Brijeg's performance.

GOŠK Gabela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Široki Brijeg than the current prediction. (-30.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Široki Brijeg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GOŠK Gabela than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GOŠK Gabela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Široki Brijeg - GOŠK Gabela Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Široki Brijeg will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). GOŠK will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Široki Brijeg (votes: 2 - 66.7%). GOŠK (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Josipovic R. (G) 11. Bagaric I. 25. Marcinho 10. Matic F. 31. Mekic F. 26. Musa B. 17. Posavac F. 2. Pranjic I. 16. Stanic M. 24. Taraba F. (C) 90. Tomic T.	1. Prslja L. (G) 10. Kacunko A. 81. Kozina M. 23. Kresic M. 16. Milicevic J. 11. Novakovic I. 15. Peric N. 25. Sesar K. 30. Sujic G. 6. Suta R. (C) 7. Zlibanovic M.
Substitutes
23. Ilicic M. 20. Kolaric M. 18. Matic M. 22. Medic V. 3. Musa L. 4. Prusina B. 5. Senic M. 95. Stanic P. 1. Topic M. (G)	9. Ankovic L. 3. Coko G. 5. Halilovic D. 69. Jovanovic L. 32. Kolak V. (G) 33. Medic D. 70. Peric K. 88. Rados J. 20. Sadikovic A. 21. Salcin D. 22. Velinovski K.
Coaches
Klafuric D.	Borovac D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Musa B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Musa B. ↓, Senic M. ↑,
46', Kozina M. ↓, Salcin D. ↑,
46', Sujic G. ↓, Jovanovic L. ↑,
46', Zlibanovic M. ↓, Peric K. ↑,
58', Matic F. ↓, Ilicic M. ↑,
64', Sesar K. ↓, Velinovski K. ↑,
71', Posavac F. 🟨,
74', Peric N. 🟨,
75', Peric N. ↓, Halilovic D. ↑,
76', Kresic M. 🟨,
76', Senic M. 🟨,
79', Bagaric I. ↓, Kolaric M. ↑,
85', Peric K. 🟨,
85', Peric K. 🟥,
90', Marcinho ↓, Matic M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Matic M. ⚽,

Preview

GOŠK is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Široki Brijeg won 2.

Recent matches Široki Brijeg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

GOŠK has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Široki Brijeg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Široki Brijeg is indisputable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Široki Brijeg won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23:11 (average 1.5:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Široki Brijeg won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:5 (average 2.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Široki Brijeg
Bosnian Premier League
19.04.25	Igman Konjic - Široki Brijeg	2:1 ✺
Bosnian Cup
16.04.25	Željezničar Sarajevo - Široki Brijeg	1:0 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
12.04.25	Široki Brijeg - Posušje	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Radnik Bijeljina - Široki Brijeg	1:1 ✺
Bosnian Cup
02.04.25	Široki Brijeg - Željezničar Sarajevo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTW
- GOŠK Gabela
Bosnian Premier League
18.04.25	GOŠK Gabela - Sloga Doboj	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Željezničar Sarajevo - GOŠK Gabela	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	GOŠK Gabela - Sarajevo	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Borac Banja Luka - GOŠK Gabela	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	GOŠK Gabela - Sloga Doboj	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
15.02.25	GOŠK Gabela - Široki Brijeg	1:2
Bosnian Cup
08.02.25	Široki Brijeg - GOŠK Gabela	1:0
Bosnian Premier League
20.09.24	Široki Brijeg - GOŠK Gabela	2:2
08.04.24	Široki Brijeg - GOŠK Gabela	2:2
03.12.23	GOŠK Gabela - Široki Brijeg	0:0
27.08.23	Široki Brijeg - GOŠK Gabela	2:0
Bosnian Cup
30.09.20	GOŠK Gabela - Široki Brijeg	0:1

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