Match Info

Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday


	Široki Brijeg		Sloboda Užice

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.75	7
	1.45	3.8	6.25
	1.35	3.8	7
	1.4	3.95	7
	1.4	4.26	9.02
	1.44	3.8	7
	1.43	4.15	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (2.01)	3.93 ↑ (3.25)	7.15 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Široki Brijeg
64.3%

Draw
23.1%

Sloboda Užice
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

21.6%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Široki Brijeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Široki Brijeg's performance.

Sloboda Užice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sloboda Užice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Široki Brijeg than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Široki Brijeg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloboda Užice than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sloboda Užice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.6%	1.9%	5.6%

Široki Brijeg - Sloboda Užice Predictions

Users Predictions: Široki Brijeg will win (50 of 54 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.6% – 99.58%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Široki Brijeg have a series of guest games.

In this match Široki Brijeg is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Široki Brijeg won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Široki Brijeg won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Široki Brijeg
Bosnian Premier League
28.11.20	Borac Banja Luka - Široki Brijeg	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Široki Brijeg - Radnik Bijeljina	5:0 ✺
Bosnian Cup
14.11.20	Velež Mostar - Široki Brijeg	0:1 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
08.11.20	Velež Mostar - Široki Brijeg	2:1 ✺
04.11.20	Zrinjski Mostar - Široki Brijeg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWLL
- FK Sloboda Užice
Bosnian Premier League
28.11.20	Sloboda Užice - Zrinjski Mostar	0:0 ✺
21.11.20	Željezničar Sarajevo - Sloboda Užice	2:2 ✺
07.11.20	Mladost Doboj Kakanj - Sloboda Užice	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	Sloboda Užice - Borac Banja Luka	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Radnik Bijeljina - Sloboda Užice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
29.08.20	Sloboda Užice - Široki Brijeg	3:0
20.10.19	Široki Brijeg - Sloboda Užice	2:0
27.07.19	Sloboda Užice - Široki Brijeg	2:2
04.05.19	Široki Brijeg - Sloboda Užice	4:0
11.11.18	Sloboda Užice - Široki Brijeg	0:1
Bosnian Cup
03.10.18	Sloboda Užice - Široki Brijeg	1:2 penalties
Bosnian Premier League
20.08.18	Široki Brijeg - Sloboda Užice	0:0

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