Match Info

4. liga - Group E - Round 30

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday


	Šternberk		Baťov

	1	X	2
	2.03	3.95	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.76)	3.95 ↓ (4.2)	3.06 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šternberk
45.9%

Draw
23.6%

Baťov
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

22.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

21.5%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šternberk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Šternberk's form might have worsened.

Baťov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baťov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šternberk than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Šternberk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baťov than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baťov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 13).

Šternberk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Baťov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Šternberk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Šternberk is the team to beat.

We predict that Šternberk will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Šternberk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Šternberk won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Šternberk
Czech 4 Liga Group E
31.05.25	Šternberk - Šumperk	1:0
23.05.25	Hranice - Šternberk	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Valašské Meziříčí - Šternberk	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Šternberk - HFK Olomouc	5:1 ✺
04.05.25	Slavičín - Šternberk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WTWWT
- SK Baťov 1930
Czech 4 Liga Group E
08.06.25	Baťov - HFK Olomouc	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Slavičín - Baťov	1:2 ✺
23.05.25	Baťov - Kvasice	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Slovan Bzenec - Baťov	3:0 ✺
09.05.25	Baťov - Vsetín	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 4 Liga Group E
09.03.24	Baťov - Šternberk	2:0
05.08.23	Šternberk - Baťov	3:3
22.04.23	Baťov - Šternberk	0:2
10.09.22	Šternberk - Baťov	0:0

Šternberk - Baťov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide