Match Info

4. liga - Group D - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou		Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.40	3.40
	1.88	3.4	3.35
	1.85	3.58	3.4
	1.86	3.79	3.44	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.35
	1.78	4.02	3.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.87)	3.62 ↑ (3.52)	3.44 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou
48.8%

Draw
25%

Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.6%

25.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

23.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žďár nad Sázavou won 3.

Žďár nad Sázavou has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Ždírec nad D is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ždírec nad D could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Žďár nad Sázavou is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Žďár nad Sázavou has recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:18 (averaging 2:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Žďár nad Sázavou against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 23:6 goals (averaging 2.9:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Zdar nad Sazavou	12	3	3	6	20:19	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou
Czech 4 Liga Group D
10.10.26	Tatran Bohunice - Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou - Sokol Tasovice	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou - Humpolec	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Znojmo - Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou - Chotěboř	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou
Czech 4 Liga Group D
03.10.26	Sparta Brno - Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou - Dosta Bystrc-Kníničky	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Kuřim - Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou	6:1 ✺
06.09.26	Velké Meziříčí - Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou	3:2 ✺
30.08.26	Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou - Pelhřimov	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Czech 4 Liga Group D
14.04.26	Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou - Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou	2:0
24.08.25	Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou - Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou	3:2
02.04.25	Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou - Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou	0:3
11.08.24	Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou - Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou	0:0
18.05.24	Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou - Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou	3:0
15.10.23	Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou - Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou	1:3
16.04.23	Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou - Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou	3:2

Žďas Žďár nad Sázavou - Tatran Ždírec nad Doubravou