Match Info

Liga 3 - Seria 4 - Round 15

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Ștefănești		Flacăra Moreni

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.5	2.42
	2.46	3.59	2.46	Watch
	2.47	3.7	2.47
	2.37	3.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.43)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	2.44 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ștefănești
37.3%

Draw
25.5%

Flacăra Moreni
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.8%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

26.7%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ștefănești has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Flacăra Moreni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ștefănești than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flacăra Moreni than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Ștefănești - Flacăra Moreni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 3)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion Group: )).

Ștefănești is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Flacăra Moreni is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ștefănești may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ștefănești won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ștefănești won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Ștefănești
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 4
16.11.25	Ștefănești - Urban Titu	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	CSM Săcele - Ștefănești	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Teleajenul Vălenii de Munte - Ștefănești	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Ștefănești - Băicoi	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Ștefănești - Olimpic Zărneşti	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWT
- CSM Flacăra Moreni
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 4
21.11.25	Flacăra Moreni - Voinţa Crevedia	3:0 ✺
14.11.25	Progresul Mogoșoaia - Flacăra Moreni	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Flacăra Moreni - Pucioasa	5:2 ✺
31.10.25	Flacăra Moreni - Tricolorul Breaza	5:0 ✺
17.10.25	Kids Tâmpa Brașov - Flacăra Moreni	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 4
19.09.25	Flacăra Moreni - Ștefănești	2:3
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 5
26.10.24	Ștefănești - Flacăra Moreni	2:1

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