Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Kayseri 8, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 September 2025, Thursday


	Adriana Tkachenko		Dune Vaissaud

	1	2
	3.4	1.26
	3.46	1.28
	3.20	1.28	Watch
	3.32	1.29	Watch
	2.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.5)	1.32 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adriana Tkachenko
29.4%

Dune Vaissaud
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adriana Tkachenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adriana Tkachenko's form might have worsened.

Dune Vaissaud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dune Vaissaud's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adriana Tkachenko than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adriana Tkachenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dune Vaissaud than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dune Vaissaud, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Adriana Tkachenko - Dune Vaissaud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vaissaud is ranked WTA: 1002.

Tkachenko is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Vaissaud has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vaissaud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vaissaud is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adriana Tkachenko
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Adriana Tkachenko - Anastasiia Aralova	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Adriana Tkachenko - Alana Subasic	Tkachenko A. retired ✺
04.09.25	Dia Evtimova - Adriana Tkachenko	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Adriana Tkachenko - Vivien Sandberg	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Adriana Tkachenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 W?WWL
- Dune Vaissaud
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Dune Vaissaud - Wozuko Mdlulwa	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Dune Vaissaud - Kateryna Lazarenko	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Katarina Kuzmova - Dune Vaissaud	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Dune Vaissaud - Ekaterina Yashina	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Mandegar Farzami - Dune Vaissaud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWW

Adriana Tkachenko - Dune Vaissaud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide