Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Alaminos 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Alaminos 3 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Adrienn Nagy		Gaia Squarcialupi

	1	2
	1.5	2.35
	1.51	2.45
	1.53	2.38
	1.53	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.41)	2.39 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrienn Nagy
61.1%

Gaia Squarcialupi
38.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrienn Nagy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Gaia Squarcialupi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrienn Nagy than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrienn Nagy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaia Squarcialupi than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gaia Squarcialupi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Nagy is ranked WTA: 549. Squarcialupi is ranked WTA: 701.

Two players are playing changeable.

Nagy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nagy will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrienn Nagy
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Adrienn Nagy - Anastasiia Firman	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Jessica Bertoldo - Adrienn Nagy	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Ginevra Parentini Vallega Montebruno - Adrienn Nagy	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Olga Danilova - Adrienn Nagy	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Adrienn Nagy - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWWL
- Gaia Squarcialupi
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen - Gaia Squarcialupi	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Ginevra Parentini Vallega Montebruno - Gaia Squarcialupi	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Gaia Squarcialupi - Alexandra Zimmer	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Laura Mair - Gaia Squarcialupi	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Eliz Maloney - Gaia Squarcialupi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLW

Adrienn Nagy - Gaia Squarcialupi

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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