Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 April 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Acapulco (Mexico) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Referee: Bravo J. L. (Mex)


	Aidan McHugh		Ryan Seggerman

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.12	1.75
	2.12	1.75
	2	1.73
	2.04	1.72	Watch
	2	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.62)	1.73 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan McHugh
45.7%

Ryan Seggerman
54.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan McHugh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aidan McHugh's form might have worsened.

Ryan Seggerman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryan Seggerman's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aidan McHugh than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aidan McHugh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Seggerman than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ryan Seggerman, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Aidan McHugh - Ryan Seggerman Predictions

Users Predictions: Ryan Seggerman will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Seggerman could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan McHugh
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Maxime Janvier - Aidan McHugh	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.03.24	Aidan McHugh - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
15.03.24	Aidan McHugh - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
14.03.24	Aidan McHugh - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Aidan McHugh - Antoine Berger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW
- Ryan Seggerman
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Ryan Seggerman - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Matias Soto - Ryan Seggerman	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Nicolas Mejia - Ryan Seggerman	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Ryan Seggerman - Karue Sell	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Gerard Campana Lee - Ryan Seggerman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan McHugh
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Luca Pow - Aidan McHugh	✺

Aidan McHugh - Ryan Seggerman