Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CHAMPAIGN (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Aidan McHugh		Sebastian Fanselow

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.92	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.9
	1.93	1.9
	1.8	1.91
	1.85	1.88	Watch
	1.81	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.63)	1.87 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan McHugh
50%

Sebastian Fanselow
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan McHugh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aidan McHugh's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Fanselow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Fanselow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aidan McHugh than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aidan McHugh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Fanselow than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Fanselow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Aidan McHugh - Sebastian Fanselow Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. McHugh will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Fanselow will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fanselow: 35.2% – 92%.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Fanselow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan McHugh
ATP Challenger
10.11.23	Denis Kudla - Aidan McHugh	2:0 ✺
09.11.23	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Aidan McHugh	1:2 ✺
07.11.23	Aidan McHugh - Alexander Cozbinov	2:1 ✺
07.11.23	Aidan McHugh - Adam Walton	Canceled ✺
31.10.23	Alexander Ritschard - Aidan McHugh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWW?L
- Sebastian Fanselow
ATP Challenger
09.11.23	Zachary Svajda - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Cannon Kingsley	2:0 ✺
06.11.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Kyle Kang	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Darian King	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWL

Aidan McHugh - Sebastian Fanselow: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide