Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday


	Alan Magadan		Juan Alejandro Hernandez

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.52	2.48
	1.58	2.51
	1.56	2.27
	1.56	2.45
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.53	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.49)	2.38 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alan Magadan
60.6%

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alan Magadan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alan Magadan than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Alan Magadan - Juan Alejandro Hernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Magadan is ranked ATP: 561. Hernandez is ranked ATP: 470.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Magadan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Magadan could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Magadan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Alejandro Hernandez - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.17%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alan Magadan
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Alan Magadan - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Alan Magadan	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Alan Magadan - Max Sheldon	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
26.07.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Alan Magadan	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Alan Magadan - Garrett Johns	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW
- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ATP Challenger
02.08.26	Millen Hurrion - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
27.07.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Alan Magadan	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Nicolas Mejia - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Los Cabos
26.07.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Alan Magadan	2:0

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