Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	Alan Magadan		Matias Soto

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.56	Watch
	2.52	1.57
	2.36	1.52	Watch
	2.4	1.54	Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.93)	1.53 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alan Magadan
39%

Matias Soto
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alan Magadan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alan Magadan's performance.

Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matias Soto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alan Magadan than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alan Magadan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matias Soto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alan Magadan - Matias Soto Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Magadan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Soto will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Magadan is ranked ATP: 632. Soto is ranked ATP: 296.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Magadan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Soto is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Magadan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alan Magadan
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Alan Magadan - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
03.07.26	Alan Magadan - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Alan Magadan	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Pedro Sakamoto - Alan Magadan	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Naoya Honda - Alan Magadan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWL
- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
01.07.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Matias Soto	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Mwendwa Mbithi - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Matias Soto - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Matias Soto - Ignacio Monzon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Alan Magadan - Matias Soto	1:2

Alan Magadan - Matias Soto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide