Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 MADRID 2 (SPAIN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday


	Alastair Gray		Julio Cesar Porras

	1	2
	1.3	3.1
	1.31	3.19
	1.32	3.19
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.22	Watch
	1.26	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.51)	3.27 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alastair Gray
71.6%

Julio Cesar Porras
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alastair Gray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alastair Gray's performance.

Julio Cesar Porras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Julio Cesar Porras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alastair Gray that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julio Cesar Porras than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Julio Cesar Porras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Gray is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Porras is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Porras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gray is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
26.11.23	Arthur Gea - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Ioannis Xilas - Alastair Gray	0:2 ✺
24.11.23	Alastair Gray - Kai Lemstra	2:0 ✺
21.11.23	Alastair Gray - Joel Josef Schwarzler	2:0 ✺
08.11.23	Martyn Pawelski - Alastair Gray	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWW
- Julio Cesar Porras
ITF Tournaments
29.11.23	Luis Llorens Saracho - Julio Cesar Porras	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Julio Cesar Porras - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Julio Cesar Porras - Deney Wassermann	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Valentin Vacherot - Julio Cesar Porras	Vacherot V. retired ✺
05.10.23	Richard Zusman - Julio Cesar Porras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLW?W

Alastair Gray - Julio Cesar Porras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide