Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Madrid 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Alba Rey Garcia		Shiyu Ye

	1	2
	2.12	1.61	Watch
	1.36	2.94	Watch
	1.32	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.39)	2.52 ↓ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alba Rey Garcia
61.1%

Shiyu Ye
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alba Rey Garcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Shiyu Ye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alba Rey Garcia than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alba Rey Garcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shiyu Ye than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shiyu Ye, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alba Rey Garcia - Shiyu Ye Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rey Garcia is ranked WTA: 624. Ye is ranked WTA: 1448.

Rey Garcia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ye is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rey Garcia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rey Garcia is a strong favorite.

We predict that Rey Garcia will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alba Rey Garcia
ITF Tournaments
12.09.25	Alba Rey Garcia - Carmen Gallardo Guevara	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Alba Rey Garcia - Maria Garcia Cid	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Alba Rey Garcia - Didi Bredberg Canizares	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Alba Rey Garcia - Verena Meliss	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Alba Rey Garcia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW
- Shiyu Ye
ITF Tournaments
12.09.25	Carmen Lopez Martinez - Shiyu Ye	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Shiyu Ye - Valentina Losciale	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Shiyu Ye - Vanja Gudelj	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Shiyu Ye - Claudia Ferrer Perez	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Sandra Samir - Shiyu Ye	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWLW

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