Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CASSIS (FRANCE), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 6 September 2023, Wednesday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Federico Gaio

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.32
	1.58	2.43
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.43	2.67	Watch
	1.53	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.72)	2.39 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
60.7%

Federico Gaio
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Moro Canas's performance.

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Gaio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Moro Canas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Gaio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Federico Gaio Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Gaio will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moro Canas: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Moro Canas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
04.09.23	Moez Echargui - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
31.08.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Antoine Escoffier	1:2 ✺
29.08.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
25.07.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
22.07.23	Hugo Grenier - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL
- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
04.09.23	Kalin Ivanovski - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Federico Gaio - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.23	Francisco Comesana - Federico Gaio	2:1 ✺
22.08.23	Federico Gaio - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.23	Federico Gaio - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWL

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