Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Antalya 4 (Turkey), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday


	Alena Kovackova		Lia Karatancheva

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	2.02	1.74	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alena Kovackova
48.5%

Lia Karatancheva
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alena Kovackova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lia Karatancheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alena Kovackova than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

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Preview

Kovackova is ranked WTA: 746. Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 345.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Karatancheva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lia Karatancheva - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alena Kovackova
ITF Tournaments
23.03.25	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Alena Kovackova	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Alena Kovackova - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Alena Kovackova - Irina Maria Bara	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	Alena Kovackova - Ziva Falkner	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Carolina Alves - Alena Kovackova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWW
- Lia Karatancheva
WTA Merida
22.02.25	Petra Martic - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.02.25	Lia Karatancheva - Angela Fita Boluda	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	Luisina Giovannini - Lia Karatancheva	0:2 ✺
30.01.25	Hanna Chang - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Lia Karatancheva - Carson Branstine	Branstine C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWL?

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